Featured Article

July 4th, 2009 By: Michael Merritt

Sarah PalinI honestly don’t know what to say.  I don’t get it.  Luckily, I’m not alone, because it seems nobody else does either.  Some people are trying to guess the reasons, citing burnout or family reasons or some as-of-yet hidden scandal, but until Palin says something herself or some other kind of news arises, guess is all we can do.

My sense of the response to the news from across the media and blogosphere is one of utter confusion in most places, but apart from Palinistas like Conservatives4Palin, the response from the pundits is pretty overwhelmingly negative thus far, even from conservatives.  It is strange.  Government officials typically resign for only a couple reasons: 1) Scandals 2)To “spend more time with the family” 3)Medical reasons.  Of those three, #2 is usually only common with appointed officials like Cabinet members.  Politicians typically don’t resign because of negative media attention, even at the level that Palin has gotten.  If such were the case, George W. Bush would have resigned well before his second term was completed.

I also don’t buy the lame duck excuse because no politician is a lame duck until the period between an election and the end of a politician’s time in office.  She either really doesn’t understand what a lame duck is (and I assume she does), or she’s hoping her constituents won’t.  Unfortunately, not everybody follows politics as close as other people, so maybe she’s trying to speak to the uninterested here, hoping it slips through.  I don’t think it will.

I think Ed Morrissey at Hot Air puts it best when he writes “Palin’s abandoning  her post, and at least from her own description, doing it because she doesn’t want to deal with the issues of being a “lame duck,” a status all politicians have to handle at some point.”  He’s right.  You don’t resign unless there’s a very good reason to do so.  That may be the case.  The speech gave very little detail over her thought process, other than vague references to a lame duck period that won’t happen for over a year.  So, there could be something else there.  If so, though, why not just announce it?  If there is some kind of illness in the family, I can understand wanting to have privacy, but with a national profile like hers, it’s eventually going to get out anyway.  Better to say it now and end the speculation before it starts, yes?

The way all of this going down will give the perception to many that she’s only interested in her own ambitions, even at the expense of her own fellow Alaskans.  Even if the reports of her no longer planning to run for president in 2012 are true, I think jumping ship now, without a valid for doing so, will put a bad taste in Alaskans’ mouths.  Americans are not interested in leaders who up-and-run at the moment things seem tough.  They want people there who will do their utmost best to represent them at all times, and leaving office now makes Palin seem like someone who isn’t as tough as they might have hoped.  In any case, it will come back to haunt her should she wish to run for president.

Finally, I’d note that there seems to be an insistence by Palin to keep this focused on the fact she’s not running for re-election rather than the resignation.  This is perhaps best exemplified in a recent Tweet which says, “We’ll soon attach info on decision to not seek re-election… this is in Alaska’s best interest, my family’s happy… it is good, stay tuned”

Palin may wish to try and control the way the story goes, but the fact she is resigning in such a bizarre way has already taken it out of her hands.  A decision not to run for a second term would certainly be news, but it is relatively common enough that it would be treated much differently.  I think the story is going to remain about the resignation, and given the reaction throughout even most of the conservative blogosphere, she won’t be able to demonize the media for it and retain credibility.

Those are my thoughts.  I have a brief punditry round-up after the jump.

Read more…

PG Analysis

June 29th, 2009 By: admin

3 comments

teson-course2007sm1By Jason Steck, RealClearWorld Compass blog

The expulsion of former Honduran President Manuel Zelaya by the Honduras military has sparked a lively debate over whether or not the takeover should be called a “coup”. The reason for the debate is simple enough — “coup” conjures images of a military junta seizing power by extralegal force and repressing all opposition akin to Argentina in the early 1980s. Defenders of the Honduran military action point out that this action was not extralegal and was, in fact, authorized by the legislature and the courts in response to Zelaya’s own illegal attempt to extend his power in an imitation of his international mentor, Venezuelan dictator Hugo Chavez. Critics, however, believe that this is just a rhetorical shill to cover up some kind of bias against Zelaya’s leftist politics.

What both sides miss is that a “coup” isn’t always extralegal. In short, what is happening in Honduras may be an example of a coup that is not only legal, but mandatory. The oddness of this concept to American minds requires an explanation.

Civil-military relations in the United States are founded on assumptions both inside and outside the military that derive from the work of the late Samuel Huntington in The Soldier and the State. Under Huntington’s ideal of “objective civilian control”, the military is granted substantial autonomy over a professional sphere of managing the application of violence, but is given no political role. Various forms of “subjective civilian control” where the military becomes embroiled in civilian political struggles are argued by Huntington to be militarily deficient and presumed by most westerners to be morally deficient as well. Americans frequently assume that this ideal is universally shared as an intrinsic component of a democracy.

But this American presumption is more a pretension than an objective description of how societies organize themselves politically. While it is true that American and European consultants make a priority of encouraging developing democracies to adopt Huntingtonian ideals (NATO’s “Partnership for Peace” is a notable example, as is the reformed curriculum of the Western Hemispheric Institute for Security Cooperation, formerly-known and still-protested as the “School of Americas”), some countries explicitly endow their military with a role in maintaining democratic governance. For example, in Turkey, the military is constitutionally empowered to act as a check on the potential for Islamic parties to undermine the secular foundations. In 1962 and 1980, the Turkish military undertook coups that were not only seen as legal, but mandatory and necessary. This military influence has continued to function in less aggressive forms during more recent political crises involving the banning of Islamic parties and the selection of the head-of-state.

Like the Turkish military, Latin American militaries have a long tradition of political involvement. While in some cases, most notably Argentina, this tradition has been intentionally deconstructed (the disaster of the “dirty war” and defeat in the Falklands War provided a strong impetus for change), officers have continued to hold a widely-accepted political role in other countries. It is worth remembering, for example, that in spite of his pretensions of outrage over this coup in Honduras, Venezualan dictator Hugo Chavez was himself the leader of a coup attempt in 1992.

As more news continues to filter out of Honduras, it appears as if the Honduran military was specifically authorized by a court order to arrest a President that was judged to be out of control. The fact that the American military would never be so authorized should not distract us from the possibility that legal authorizations for military interventions into politics might exist in other countries’ constitutional arrangements. The takeover in Honduras might be, in fact, a legal coup.

The author is a Ph.D. candidate in political science at the University of Minnesota, Twin Cities. His dissertation forces on variations in the political and policy-making roles of the U.S. military.


More Analysis

June 25th, 2009 By: Jason Arvak

13 comments

MIDEAST ISRAEL PALESTINIANSAs reported by AP, Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu appears to be moving towards acceptance of…

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June 23rd, 2009 By: admin

1 comment

geo weeklySuccessful revolutions have three phases. First, a strategically located single or limited segment of society…

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June 22nd, 2009 By: Jason Arvak

4 comments

As Washington politicos drive pell-mell towards some kind of health care reform plan, it is…

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June 21st, 2009 By: Jason Arvak

No comments

iranian_protest_election_results_26Writing at CNN, Fareed Zakaria supports the argument I have been making regarding President Obama’s…

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June 20th, 2009 By: Patrick Glenn

8 comments

bushcowboyAlso known as the commenter “Buckeye”, Patrick Glenn is the newest contributor to PoliGazette. We…

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wilders wins electionsEuropean voters realize that not American capitalism, nor free markets, but progressive, leftist policies are to blame for today’s severe economic crisis. Capitalism and free markets were declared dead alright, but not by voters but by journalists, most of whom are socialists.

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June 1st, 2009 By: Jason Arvak

102 comments

george-tillerDr. George Tiller, a famous abortion provider in Wichita, Kansas, has been murdered on his…

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aaron cohenCohen bases his recommendations for a large part on 9/11. This even showed, he says, that terrorism is as big a threat to America as it is to Israel. Therefore, it has to learn from Israel’s experiences; it has, after all, the most experienced and best anti-terrorism forces in the world.

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May 26th, 2009 By: Michael Merritt

11 comments

dodd nancy_pelosi

While most of the discussion these days has centered around the future of the Republican Party, it is important for Democrats to realize that they are not invincible. Their failure to investigate and speak up against the scandals surrounding their own members could cost them seats in Congress.

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cheney torture<br />
Vice President Dick Cheney and President Barack Obama both gave a speech on the war on terrorism, Guantanamo Bay, and Enhanced Interrogation Techniques. Cheney announced he would give the speech after he appeared on many popular talk shows to defend the Bush administration’s record on this issue, which came under attack from President Obama and other leading Democrats.

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stratforRey Guerra, the former sheriff of Starr County, Texas, pleaded guilty May 1 to a narcotics conspiracy charge in federal district court in McAllen, Texas. Guerra admitted to using information obtained in his official capacity to help a friend (a Mexican drug trafficker allegedly associated with Los Zetas) evade U.S. counternarcotics efforts. On at least one occasion, Guerra also attempted to learn the identity of a confidential informant who had provided authorities with information regarding cartel operations so he could pass it to his cartel contact.

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May 20th, 2009 By: Jason Arvak

10 comments

stupidity_1170973245Winston Churchill is reputed to have said that the best cure for democracy is five…

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May 20th, 2009 By: Eric Martin

1 comment

To our collective and deep shame, the richest nation on the planet treats its wounded…

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May 19th, 2009 By: admin

No comments

stratfor weekly intelligence reportIsraeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is visiting Washington for his first official visit with U.S. President Barack Obama. A range of issues — including the future of Israeli-Palestinian negotiations, Israeli-Syrian talks and Iran policy — are on the table. This is one of an endless series of meetings between U.S. presidents and Israeli prime ministers over the years, many of which concerned these same issues. Yet little has changed.

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obamaA recent opinion poll shows that 31% of Israelis believe President Obama is pro-Israel. Considering the 44th president’s actions, associations and current approach towards the Middle East conflict, I can only conclude that these Israelis are either in denial or simply lack knowledge about what goes on in the States.

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May 17th, 2009 By: Michael Merritt

3 comments

800px-pencil_357

While the debate over school choice versus public schooling rages on in the political arena, the reality is that the solution to the problems of education in America will not be found by going to one extreme or the other, but by putting all options on the table. School choice must be considered, but improvements to the public education system must also be formulated if America is going to be serious about having its students be competitive on the world stage.

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security weeklyThe Kingdom of Saudi Arabia historically has played a major role in the development of jihadism. Key pillars of the Saudi state — oil, Wahhabism (a conservative form of Sunni Islam) and the strength of tribal norms — were instrumental in facilitating the rise of Islamist extremism and terrorism around the world prior to 9/11.

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May 15th, 2009 By: Orson Buggeigh

11 comments

Not a crookSpeaker Nancy Pelosi is accusing the Central Intelligence Agency of lying about briefing her on water boarding. I find myself less sympathetic to Madam Speaker, and reminded of the famous remarks by President Richard Nixon - “I am not a crook.” Words which proved to be, shall we say, disingenuous.

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geopolitical reportWord began to flow out of Mexico the weekend before last of well over 150 deaths suspected to have been caused by a new strain of influenza commonly referred to as swine flu. Scientists who examined the flu announced that this was a new strain of Influenza A (H1N1) derived partly from swine flu, partly from human flu and partly from avian flu strains (although there is some question as to whether this remains true). The two bits of information released in succession created a global panic.

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PG Commentary

July 4th, 2009 By: Michael Merritt

No comments

Sarah PalinI honestly don’t know what to say.  I don’t get it.  Luckily, I’m not alone, because it seems nobody else does either.  Some people are trying to guess the reasons, citing burnout or family reasons or some as-of-yet hidden scandal, but until Palin says something herself or some other kind of news arises, guess is all we can do.

My sense of the response to the news from across the media and blogosphere is one of utter confusion in most places, but apart from Palinistas like Conservatives4Palin, the response from the pundits is pretty overwhelmingly negative thus far, even from conservatives.  It is strange.  Government officials typically resign for only a couple reasons: 1) Scandals 2)To “spend more time with the family” 3)Medical reasons.  Of those three, #2 is usually only common with appointed officials like Cabinet members.  Politicians typically don’t resign because of negative media attention, even at the level that Palin has gotten.  If such were the case, George W. Bush would have resigned well before his second term was completed.

I also don’t buy the lame duck excuse because no politician is a lame duck until the period between an election and the end of a politician’s time in office.  She either really doesn’t understand what a lame duck is (and I assume she does), or she’s hoping her constituents won’t.  Unfortunately, not everybody follows politics as close as other people, so maybe she’s trying to speak to the uninterested here, hoping it slips through.  I don’t think it will.

I think Ed Morrissey at Hot Air puts it best when he writes “Palin’s abandoning  her post, and at least from her own description, doing it because she doesn’t want to deal with the issues of being a “lame duck,” a status all politicians have to handle at some point.”  He’s right.  You don’t resign unless there’s a very good reason to do so.  That may be the case.  The speech gave very little detail over her thought process, other than vague references to a lame duck period that won’t happen for over a year.  So, there could be something else there.  If so, though, why not just announce it?  If there is some kind of illness in the family, I can understand wanting to have privacy, but with a national profile like hers, it’s eventually going to get out anyway.  Better to say it now and end the speculation before it starts, yes?

The way all of this going down will give the perception to many that she’s only interested in her own ambitions, even at the expense of her own fellow Alaskans.  Even if the reports of her no longer planning to run for president in 2012 are true, I think jumping ship now, without a valid for doing so, will put a bad taste in Alaskans’ mouths.  Americans are not interested in leaders who up-and-run at the moment things seem tough.  They want people there who will do their utmost best to represent them at all times, and leaving office now makes Palin seem like someone who isn’t as tough as they might have hoped.  In any case, it will come back to haunt her should she wish to run for president.

Finally, I’d note that there seems to be an insistence by Palin to keep this focused on the fact she’s not running for re-election rather than the resignation.  This is perhaps best exemplified in a recent Tweet which says, “We’ll soon attach info on decision to not seek re-election… this is in Alaska’s best interest, my family’s happy… it is good, stay tuned”

Palin may wish to try and control the way the story goes, but the fact she is resigning in such a bizarre way has already taken it out of her hands.  A decision not to run for a second term would certainly be news, but it is relatively common enough that it would be treated much differently.  I think the story is going to remain about the resignation, and given the reaction throughout even most of the conservative blogosphere, she won’t be able to demonize the media for it and retain credibility.

Those are my thoughts.  I have a brief punditry round-up after the jump.

Read more…


More Commentary

July 3rd, 2009 By: marc moore

No comments

image

The LA Times says that U.S. District Judge George H. Wu will throw out the conviction of Lori Drew, the mother who stalked and harassed Megan Meier, a classmate of her daughter’s, until Megan committed suicide, when his written ruling is filed, probably next week.

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July 2nd, 2009 By: Patrick Glenn

4 comments

The infighting that first surfaced at the end of the 2008 McCain campaign reared up…

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July 1st, 2009 By: marc moore

6 comments

image

So there’s no confusion, I’ll make my position clear from the beginning: The idea of government-run healthcare is a bad joke.  It’s not just the bad healthcare that government agencies give that’s the problem - it’s also about the medicine and the healthcare options that they take away. Now a panel of advisors to the Food and Drug Administration has advised that agency to forcibly ban the use of drugs like Vicodin and Percocet that combine acetaminophen and narcotics.  The reason for their elimination?  Risk of overdose.

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July 1st, 2009 By: Jason Arvak

48 comments

global_warming_by_teabingWriting in the Boston Globe, conservative columnist Jeff Jacoby nails the biggest hole in the insistent lobby…

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July 1st, 2009 By: Michael Merritt

No comments

Government Run HealthcareThe debate over government provided insurance is raging on in Congress and among the American public. My own experience with government run healthcare has shaped my views on what direction I think the United States should take. I provide my story here.

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June 30th, 2009 By: Patrick Glenn

5 comments

Yesterday, I questioned whether the Obama/Clinton quick, one-sided condemnation of the “coup” in Honduras was…

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June 29th, 2009 By: Jason Arvak

11 comments

gwfailE.D. Kain at The League of Ordinary Gentlemen nails the problem with the Waxman-Markey approach to…

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June 29th, 2009 By: Patrick Glenn

No comments

mr. miyagi It might seem like Mr. Miyagi once tutored Barrack Obama and Hillary Clinton on foreign policy. Since January, the administration has been practicing diplomatic Jujitsu: hands off (North Korea), hands on (Israel), hands off (Iran). This week, it’s hands on Honduras. In fact, the administration was so quick to condemn the “coup” in Honduras that you could almost hear the Karate whiplash sound. The AP reported today:

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June 29th, 2009 By: Jason Arvak

2 comments

speculator_cartoonThus far in the still-early months of his term, President Obama has largely stuck with…

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June 29th, 2009 By: Michael van der Galien

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bailoutSeveral weeks ago, influential Dutch conservative blog De Dagelijkse Standaard broke the news that another wannabe…

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June 27th, 2009 By: Michael Jones

29 comments

Hes Got The Convictions Of Your Courage
After the passage of the Waxman-Markey energy bill in the House, I had an old memory rush to the surface. It’s from the old Firesign Theater’s “Don’t Crush That Dwarf, Hand Me The Pliers” album. In my teen years of the 60’s it was the closest thing to getting stoned without using drugs because the Firesign Theater was total nonsense and parody. At one point we are taken to the Church of the Presumptuous Assumption of the Blinding Light. The hymn went as follows:

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June 27th, 2009 By: Michael Merritt

11 comments

180px-camp_x-ray_detaineesU.S. President Barack Obama is likely to reinstate and Executive Order allowing for the indefinite detention of War on Terror detainees. Indefinite detention, along with the administration’s planned preventative detention system, is a dangerous precedent that goes against the long held tradition of trying war criminals.

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June 27th, 2009 By: marc moore

11 comments

image

Lawrence Krauss says that God and Science don’t mix, something that our own Claudia has contended, vociferously at times. Pursuit of logic is a passion with many scientifically-minded people and the pursuit of logic - and logical explanations - can become the object of single-minded devotion. In some cases this process leads to great truths and technological advancements; in others, the forest is lost among the trees and the researcher with it. Regardless, God and science are inexplicably intertwined.

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June 27th, 2009 By: marc moore

No comments

image

The New York Times thinks so after Ahmad Khatami, a senior Iranian cleric, called for the execution of protesters and the Guardian Council stated that the elections in held in that country were “healthy”.

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June 27th, 2009 By: Michael van der Galien

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saad rafiri named prime ministerEarlier Saturday, Lebanon’s President Michel Suleiman named Saad Hariri his country’s new prime minister. Hariri’s liberal democratic party won the elections for Parliament earlier this month: it occupies 71 of the 128 seats. The remaining seats went to extremist, nay terrorist, organization Hizbullah.

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June 27th, 2009 By: Michael van der Galien

61 comments

house approves billFriday, the United States House of Representatives approved president Barack Obama’s, Rep.Waxman’s and Rep. Markey’s climate change bill. With the bill, Obama delivers on his promise to radical leftists last year to ‘fight global warming’ by driving entire businesses into bankruptcy.

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June 27th, 2009 By: Michael van der Galien

7 comments

obama executive order indefinite detentionFor months now, polls show that the majority of Americans oppose closing Guantanamo Bay, and favor indefinite detention of terrorism suspects. Members of Congress and the White House are obviously aware of these polls, which is why the former have indicated to the latter that they are hard pressed to change many of Bush’s national security policies.

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June 27th, 2009 By: Michael van der Galien

3 comments

iranThe protests and riots continue unabated in Iran. Supporters of Mir Hossein Mousavi - and…

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June 27th, 2009 By: Michael van der Galien

7 comments

sarah palinEarlier this week Senator John Kerry made a fantastisch - ahem - joke about Governor Sarah…

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June 26th, 2009 By: Michael van der Galien

2 comments

calimeroIt continues to be extremely entertaining to watch Vice President Joe Biden, who seems to…

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June 25th, 2009 By: Jason Arvak

No comments

I have today implemented an “amnesty” on banned commenters. That means that those who were…

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