Huckabee, Obama Lead in South Carolina
As reported earlier today, Michigan is a state in which Mitt Romney has to win. One could argue that he’ll have his last stand there (unless he wins, in which case his campaign is revived and he’s able to win the nomination). South Carolina is quite a different affair altogether, however. According to most pundits, polls and analysts this is a state where Mike Huckabee should do well (and no, that doesn’t say much considering that the pundits have been wrong more often than they have been right).
The latest Rasmussen poll confirms that Huckabee has a good shot at winning in SC though: he’s leading McCain by 7% and Romney by 13%.
That’s not surprising. At least not to me. What is somewhat surprising, however, is that Fred Thompson is doing incredibly badly. He’s polling in fourth place with only 11% support. That’s not nearly enough for him. South Carolina is one of those states in which he has to do well. If he doesn’t, he’ll probably drop out and endorse his buddy McCain. Meanwhile, McCain will probably do better in the polls in a couple of days due to his victory yesterday.
On the Democratic side the poll isn’t exactly surprising either: Obama’s leading Clinton by some 12%. That’s much, yes, but over half of Democrats in this state are African-Americans and the longer Obama stays in the race, the more blacks will support him. What’s more, this poll was conducted after Obama’s victory in Iowa, but before Clinton’s comeback in New Hampshire. One would expect the difference between the two leading Democrats to decrease somewhat in the coming days.
And the other Democrats? Well, John Edwards is in third place with 14% and no one else tops 3%. One truly wonders what keeps Richardson, for instance, in the race. Same goes for Edwards of course, but at least he’s polling in the double digits.
Take this poll – as usual – with a grain of salt and common sense. This poll doesn’t mean anything: it only gives us an impression of what voters in South Carolina would do today. Well, yesterday actually. There’s still a while to go until the South Carolina primaries, and a lot of things can change.
O, and polls are wrong sometimes.
New Hampshire was a "fire wall" state for Hillary. The same cant be said of South Carolina. Obama is a favored candidate but he has to address the concerns of voters. If experience is an issue he needs to tout his 8 years in the Illinois state senate and 3 years in the US Senate. Add it up and you will see he has more time in elected office than Hillary Clinton. Not enough people know this.
Hillary has changed her placards to reflect Ready for Change. He needs to expose that she cannot ge the change agent because she is bought and paid for by lobbyists. Bush had to return favors to Halliburton and Enron because they donated to his campaign, much to the average American’s detriment. Obama does not owe such favors which will allow him to truly be an agent of change.
Wayne,
thanks for the Obama endorsement. BTW, is Bush running again this year?
After seeing how a 10% lead can turn into a 3% loss, I’ll wait till voting day to see what the people of South Carolina REALLY think. Here’s hoping they say the same thing on the ballot that they say on the polls.
After seeing how a 10% lead can turn into a 3% loss, I’ll wait till voting day to see what the people of South Carolina REALLY think. Here’s hoping they say the same thing on the ballot that they say on the polls.
Lets hope they don’t! Much more interesting like this.
Fred Thompson is the only conservative in the race. If it comes down to Obama vs Huckabee I’ll be voting for a democrat president for the first time in my life. I’ll still vote republican for the rest though. I used to live in Arkansas and can’t stand Huckabee. Soft on immigration, tax and spend, pardons like crazy, no thanks.
Jim, well that’s two of us in a similar boat. If Hillary wins the nomination, I may find myself voting Republican. I’ll at the very least consider it. The only (viable) Republican candidate that would make me vote for Hillary with even mild conviction would be Huckabee or possibly Giuliani
Huckabee is NOT TRUST WORTHY.
Huckabee had 14 ethnical violations brought against him relating to finances as governor. Shortly before announcing his candidacy for the President of the United States, Huckabee ordered that the drives of 83 computers and 4 servers be destroyed during his transition phase in leaving office. This is what crooked CEO do when they leave a company.
Huckabee raised taxes 21 times and granted clemency to 1033 convicted felons, 12 murderers and rapists. Try to improve his tough on crime image with Chuck Norris. (Give me a break! If they were selling weight lose machine it would be more convincing!)
He has a 2 1/2 year of religious higher education and as a minister selling religion for a living with people’s donation for 12 years. How can anyone thinks Huckabee can turn the economy around?
Will Smith is a better candidate than Obama.
What significant achievement does Obama has? The only think I could think of was he gave a good speech for John Kerry in 2004 at the Democratic convention. He’s been a senator for 3 years. How could anyone believe that this person can lead the country? As far as leadership goes, he hasn’t accomplish anything to show he can lead.
In the Bible, Jesus defines a hypocrite as somebody who is close to Him in his words but corrupt in his heart. This clearly fits Mike Huckabee with the way he says he will take the high road and does the opposite. He wears his religion on his sleeve while trying to steal tax payer money including $70,000 in furniture from the governor’s mansion in Arkansas. It is one thing to raise taxes and parole murderers but it is completely different to have 14 ethics complaints while running on the holier than thou ticket. John McCain is the best choice even if he does support amnesty for illegal immigrants, does not support tax cuts, and is old. He even promises that he will “follow Bin Laden to the gates of hell” even though I would be happy with Bin Laden in hell and don’t see the need for anybody to go there after him.
John N.- you wrote some misinformation when you stated that mike
"granted clemency to 1033 convicted felons".
sorry but it was 1033 criminals most were not felons.
GO MIKE!!!!!
mike is gonna win and it’s gonna be huck/mac 08 or the opposite
FairTax, Yes! Without it, WHOA! Not just another politico: Hope for tax reform, I see, Will be voting HUCKABEE!