South Carolina Will Be Close
Although Rasmussen Reports‘ latest poll has McCain firmly in the lead in South Carolina, I thin it’s safe to say that it’ll be a very close race indeed. McCain thanks his lead due to his victory in New Hampshire. Things have changed since yesterday, however. The poll has Mitt Romney in third place with 17%, but he’s likely to receive a bounce now that he has won in Michigan… and that with firm Republican and conservative support.
Aside from that, Mike Huckabee should appeal to many South Carolina voters, and he’s in second place in the latest polls, and the same goes for Fred Thompson who’s in fourth place with 16% (only 1% behind Romney, and 3% behind Huckabee).
If McCain would have won in Michigan yesterday he would be the favorite for South Carolina, but as it is I think that there’s no real favorite and that it will all be about ‘who gets his voters out?’
The poll is, to a degree, bad news for Huckabee, by the way. He lost 5% support. Considering the fact that Thompson is surging that would make sense: as said, to a degree, they fight for the same kind of voters. If Thompson surges, Huckabee will fall. If Huckabee surges, Thompson – in turn – has a problem.
And Giuliani? He’s tied with Congressman Ron Paul. Both receive some 5% support. In SC, as in all the other states before South Carolina, these two will be irrelevant.
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Once again dirty politics raises it’s head in SC. The attack vitims are McCain and the truth about his POW history.
http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2008/01/15/mccain-campaign-responds-to-mailing-in-sc/
http://www.townhall.com/blog/g/ab01968d-1bdf-4c99-a05b-d699b361ef55