Comments on: Mitt’s Surging http://www.poligazette.com/2008/01/24/mitts-surging/ Because Common Sense Transcends Distance Sat, 20 Mar 2010 09:02:22 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.1 hourly 1 By: Scott R. http://www.poligazette.com/2008/01/24/mitts-surging/comment-page-1/#comment-19228 Scott R. Thu, 24 Jan 2008 13:36:47 +0000 http://poligazette.com/2008/01/24/mitts-surging/#comment-19228 Mitt is surging.  It appears that the race is coming down to a Leiberman Republican or a true conservative.  If Mitt wins Florida then the nomination will go to Mitt.  If not, he is likely done. By the way, the only reason Huckabee has had any attention at all was due to the anti-mormon sentiment among evangelicals in Iowa.  Hopefully the bias is fading. Mitt is surging.  It appears that the race is coming down to a Leiberman Republican or a true conservative.  If Mitt wins Florida then the nomination will go to Mitt.  If not, he is likely done.

By the way, the only reason Huckabee has had any attention at all was due to the anti-mormon sentiment among evangelicals in Iowa.  Hopefully the bias is fading.

]]> By: Grewgills http://www.poligazette.com/2008/01/24/mitts-surging/comment-page-1/#comment-19225 Grewgills Thu, 24 Jan 2008 13:26:37 +0000 http://poligazette.com/2008/01/24/mitts-surging/#comment-19225 I just looked at the graph of RCP averages since May of last year* and they seem to tell a slightly different story.  For the bulk of that time McCain and Romney have been within a few points.  Around September Romney started to climb and pulled a bit above McCain.  His rise has been fairly stable over that time with a drop in early January that now looks like a hiccup as his numbers are back to about where his trend since September would place him.  In January after his showing in Iowa and NH McCain made up all of that ground and more leaping into a several point lead over Romney.  Now they are more or less tied.  There is still considerable volatility but it seems that both are moving up, but McCain's movement is more dramatic. * at OTB I just looked at the graph of RCP averages since May of last year* and they seem to tell a slightly different story.  For the bulk of that time McCain and Romney have been within a few points.  Around September Romney started to climb and pulled a bit above McCain.  His rise has been fairly stable over that time with a drop in early January that now looks like a hiccup as his numbers are back to about where his trend since September would place him.  In January after his showing in Iowa and NH McCain made up all of that ground and more leaping into a several point lead over Romney.  Now they are more or less tied.  There is still considerable volatility but it seems that both are moving up, but McCain’s movement is more dramatic.

* at OTB

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