Why Obama Will Win – Part 2

March 15th, 2008 By: Former Contributor | Tags:

(Part 1 was here.)

Daniel Gross writes in Slate about the “Rise of American Incompetence.”

The dollar plunged to new lows against foreign currencies this week. There are plenty of reasons for its plunge, but at the most basic level, the dollar’s weakness reflects the world’s collective, two-thumbs-down verdict about the ability of the United States—businesses, individuals, the government, the Federal Reserve—to manage the global financial system and the world’s largest economy. Countries that outsourced their monetary policy by pegging domestic currencies to the dollar are having second thoughts. Kuwait last year detached the dinar from the dollar, and Qatar government officials last week said they were considering doing the same with their currency. International financiers are unnerved by the toxic combination of “misplaced assumptions about housing, a lack of necessary regulation and irresponsible use of debt with sophisticated financial instruments,” said Ashraf Laidi, currency strategist at CMC Markets.

Predictions of America’s fall are always exaggerated. We always bounce back. But our self-confidence is starting to seem a little strained this last decade. “We’re number one!” used to be an irritating, but essentially accurate chant. No longer.

The truth is we have fallen off our pedestal. London is now a more important city than New York. Shanghai and Hong Kong may be as well. Delhi?

It’s easy to draw up quite a long list of areas in which we are some distance away from the top spot. Health care? Infrastructure? Primary education? Thanks to Steve Jobs we still make the best laptops and peripheral toys, and thanks to Larry Page and Sergey Brin we still rule the internet. We still make the best movies and TV. We still run publishing for the world. We have far and away the best universities. Cars? No. Planes? Not according to the Pentagon. Financial services? That’s a big no.

Interesting, isn’t it, how many of the areas we still dominate are run by . . . dare I say it . . . liberals? Higher education and entertainment are two of our powerhouse industries. Banking? Hah! Google is a Democrat stronghold. In 2004, 98% of political contributions from Google employees went to Democrats. Bear Stearns? CEO James Cayne went 2.5 to one for Republicans.

We live in the age of the creatives in this country. The age of the manager, the MBA, the CEO, may be fading. I’ll export several million dollars’ worth of intellectual property in the next couple of years. Stuff I just make up while sitting on my front porch. A lot of American writers do the same. What’s Countrywide Financial exported? Incompetence. All by my lonesome I contribute more to America’s balance of trade than many major corporations do.

We’re leaving the “Age Of The Guys In Suits,” and are well into the “Age Of The Guys In Jeans.” Our future as a world power is in the hands of nerds, techies, writers, cameramen, animators, genetic engineers, designers, actors, artists, scientists. It’s all about human potential. As has been said, “the geek shall inherit the earth.”

You know what just about none of those people are? Republicans. Conservatives.

Enron to Iraq to Countrywide. The arc of Republican incompetence. Hollywood to Apple to Google. The arc of the ascendant and reinvented Democrats. No longer the Democrats of NOW and the AFL-CIO. It’s becoming the party of the Geekocracy.

And we of the jeans want very different things than the suits. We do want national health insurance. We want decent roads. We want bandwidth. We want parks and open spaces. We like a different sort of green. We like getting along with the rest of the world. We want equal treatment under the law for gays. We like that wall between Church and State. We don’t like censorship. We don’t own guns. We don’t mind paying our fair share of taxes so long as we can be sure it’s not being wasted.

We’ll always respect John McCain. But we’ll write checks to, and vote for, Barack Obama.

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  1. Interested
    March 15th, 2008 at 17:00
    Reply | Quote | #1

    A lot of American writers do the same. What’s Countrywide Financial exported? Incompetence. All by my lonesome I contribute more to America’s balance of trade than many major corporations do.

    That is a fantastic statement – if you wanted to compare apples to prunes.  and really it is a statement not very well thought out.

    How many mortgages has your writing created for Mr. Doe?  Your writing must have created countless jobs and given a tool set to spawn new ideas and innovation.  forget the Model T – lets just write a book.

    I’m sorry but that was ignorance at it’s best.  any society needs all aspects of an economy and points of views with divergent talents to really make an impact.
    Unless somehow your pencil can actually nail wood together.

  2. michael reynolds
    March 15th, 2008 at 17:07
    Reply | Quote | #2

    "Your writing must have created countless jobs . . ."

    Actually, yes, it does create countless jobs. I’ve sold about $35 million worth of books, give or take, which is a lot of bookstore clerks, truck drivers, printers, lumberjacks, paper mill workers and editors. Also toy makers, TV writers and actors. Just imagine how many jobs someone like Stephen King creates.

    And neither I, nor Mr. King, is responsible for crashing the banking system or costing anyone their homes.

  3. michael reynolds
    March 15th, 2008 at 17:19
    Reply | Quote | #3

    Excuse me, correction. That was 35 million books.  In dollar terms, since they were mostly in paper, multiply by let’s say $5 each.  About $175 million.  

  4. Interested
    March 15th, 2008 at 17:29
    Reply | Quote | #4

    my word – lets put you in for a Presidential citation!  You alone encompass our entire economy!

    Bravo!  Heavy thinker!
    who are you again?

  5. Michael van der Galien
    March 15th, 2008 at 18:22
    Reply | Quote | #5

    Michael; listen… I know this poor, Dutch AMerican Studies student. Trying to earn a living so he can get married, etc.

    Just saying in case you’ve got some extra millions, although thousands would be OK as well, to spend. ;)

  6. Interested
    March 15th, 2008 at 18:31
    Reply | Quote | #6

    MvdG,

    He’s sustaining an entire economy – and you want him to do you too?  lol

  7. Michael van der Galien
    March 15th, 2008 at 18:38
    Reply | Quote | #7

    Dude: I can use the money to set up a company which will then contribute significantly to the Dutch, Turkish and American economies.

    How’s that?

  8. Interested
    March 15th, 2008 at 18:42
    Reply | Quote | #8

    no no no,

    only writing and liberal endevors contribute to an economy.

  9. michael reynolds
    March 15th, 2008 at 18:49
    Reply | Quote | #9

    Michael:

    hah.  I’ve managed to piss most of that money away.  Although, I have a new series coming up.  So wish me luck.  By the way, I’m moving to Italy.  I know it’s not exactly next door to the Netherlands but we’ll be zipping around a bit.  We should have a beer some day.

  10. michael reynolds
    March 15th, 2008 at 18:50

    Interested: let me guess: bitter MBA student?

  11. Interested
    March 15th, 2008 at 18:55

    Interested: let me guess: bitter MBA student?

    well, you would be wrong on that count also. I would caution against mixing reality with fantasy and an exaggerated sense of self-worth.

  12. michael reynolds
    March 15th, 2008 at 18:56

    Michael:
    Oh, and I am constrained to point at that I don’t get to keep that 175m.  I get a royalty.  I have to spread my largesse around.  This year most of what I generate will end up in the pocket of Rupert Murdoch.  (Okay, his shareholders.)

  13. Michael van der Galien
    March 15th, 2008 at 18:59

    I have a new series coming up

    Good luck with that man. Will it also appear in Dutch?

    I’m moving to Italy.  I know it’s not exactly next door to the Netherlands but we’ll be zipping around a bit.  We should have a beer some day.

    Sure, looking forward to it. That’ll give me and my, then hopefully wife, a good excuse to go to Italy.

    Interested: I think that Michael’s point is that creative people are the backbone of the economies of the future. I’d say that they always were, but be that as it may, I think he’s right. However, blogging is creative.

    And: no personal attacks allowed. You know that, you’re a friend. Keep it civil.

  14. Michael Reynolds
    March 15th, 2008 at 19:02

    Michel:Yep, we sold Dutch rights.  I don’t know when they’re publishing, or under what title, but the author name — Michael Grant — should be the same.  And the title should approximate a Dutch rendition of "Gone."

  15. Snorri Godhi
    March 15th, 2008 at 20:11

    My guess is that, if you do elect Obama, the USA will acquire all the negative features of Europe, without any of the redeeming features — and then all the creative people will leave the USA, just as they left Europe.

  16. Interested
    March 15th, 2008 at 23:29

    And: no personal attacks allowed. You know that, you’re a friend. Keep it civil.
    I am as civil as the post is, if the post is personal in nature than he can expect a like counter to his post – that is what we do – critique the post.  The backbone is the men and women who go to work, creating goods, buying services, living life.  what makes life better and more creative is creativity.  writing a book cannot exist if your sitting there with nothing to eat and no way to get food.

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