Russia’s Attack and the United States
Russia and Georgia are waging a war for two days now. According to Russian sources, 2,000 individuals living in the Georgian break-away province South Ossetia have died. Most other sources put that number considerably lower, but the fact remains that quite some Ossetians have lost their lives due to the current conflict. From an international point of view more importantly, however, Russia has not just attacked Georgian troops in South Ossetia but also in the rest of Georgia. Many civilians have lost their lives due to Russian bombs.
All of this begs the question where the United States is. After all, Georgia is a staunch US ally and Russia the old Cold War enemy.
Georgia and the US are not ‘just’ allies; US President George W. Bush only recently called on European members of NATO to allow Georgia to join this international military organization. Only one month ago or so 1,000 US troops were training in Georgia, and American troops had trained Georgian troops in the past.
European countries hesitated about a possible Georgian admittance to NATO but the main point was clear; the US and Georgia were close allies, and were thinking about the future of their coorporation.
Russia was of course aware of the close bond between the other two countries and lobbied hard against Georgian admittance to NATO. Later Russian forces, which Russia calls ‘peacekeepers,’ went and stayed in South Ossetia where they were joined by seperatist North Ossetian militias which were also backed by the Russian bear. At the moment these troops entered South Ossetia they started to create havoc.
The country to which South Ossetia officially belongs, Georgia, took the bait, just as Russia had hoped. A Georgian reaction gave Russia the excuse it needed to attack. And so the Russian colossus went in to ‘liberate’ people from the chaos created by their ‘liberator.’
Recent events and the close relationship between Georgia and the US beg the question what this means for the United States. Should the United States act or should it call on Russia in a friendly manner to stop fighting. Please?
One of the strongest arguments in favor of direct US involvement and possible military action is, in the words of American blogger Tiger Hawk, that the ‘United States has invested credibility in Georgia’s security (the article notes that 1000 United States Marines were in the country just last month on a training mission). If we do not respond in some fairly firm way other former Soviet states are going to wonder, with more than a little justification, whether our friendship is valuable.’
Furthermore, other former Soviet Republics will keep a close eye on events in Georgia and the international reaction to it. Russia has bullied more than one former Soviet Republic under Vladimir Putin. His successor has made clear that he too is more than willing to force those countries to do what is in Russia’s interest, regardless of what this means for the country in question. If the United States lets Georgia fall it will lose credibility; other former Soviet Republics will know that they too are in trouble if the Russian bear puts its eye on them. More Russian military action in the region will change the balance of power considerably. And not in the interest of the United States.
Lastly, Russia’s attack (which bears close resemblance to Nazi Germany’s attack on Poland and the ‘reasons’ for the Nazis to invade Tsjechoslovakia) already changes the balance of power and, if Bush does nothing, will make the Bear the main, or at least one of the main, powers active in Central Asia. The US will lose considerable influence over that region of the world.
If the US wants to protect its credibility it has to do something to protect Georgia. If it does not, US credibility will suffer more (in this region) than it has in decades.











..all of this begs the question where the United States ARE…
For future reference, "the United States ARE" is incorrect.. with the correct usage being "the United States IS".. considering the US is one country that acts as one coherent political unit..
Very bias article. Making a margin between Russia and Nazi Germany was a cheap try to revoke 60 year old hatred. After all, USA started 6 or 7 wars, more than Russia in last 60 years. And we are still considered "liberators".
I was hoping to get the neutral view from Europeans, but seams that Bush maddness has gone into your brains, more than here in states.
To answer a question for our bias writer: "Where is USA now?"
Well….
South Osetia, is a a very similar case of Kosovo, if USA backed independence of Kosovo, it can’t support Georgian request to help them wipe out South Osetia, since USA should continue their "libration" agenda, and help the seperators (south osetia), just as they did in Kosovo case…
How ironic, Russia, that warned all world about "dangerous precedane" that was made in Serbia with separation of Kosovo, now is the one that is taking the best out of it’s "prophecy".
We were very stupid, when we took such a big roll as a "liberators" of Kosovo. Russia was saying loud and clear:"give islamic kosovo indepedence" and you will be faced with pandora box of some 50+ regions in world, that want their own indepedence.
We didn’t listen….we never do….
I’ll tell you why the US isn’t intervening. Possibly beginning Cold War II in an election year? It’d make the Republicans look bad.
It seems the writers of this blog are more hawkish than the "hawkish conservatives" they bitterly complained about in the lead up to the Iraq war. Ossetians are a distinct ethnic group who chose in 1990 to separate from Georgia. They chose to align with Russia, the same as how Georgia is trying to ally itself to America. Russia has historical ties with Ossetia, in fact Joseph Stalin was originally from this area. The Ossetians are in fact Russian citizens. With the disastrous precedent the US has set by forcefully dislodging Kosovo from Serbia, it now finds itself in the unenviable position of complaining about policies that it, itself set the precedent for earlier this year with Kosovo. The difference here is that Georgia decided to gamble on a unilateral blitzkrieg to try either destroy or pacify the S. Ossetia region. Thanks to this blitzkrieg 98% of the Oseetian capital has been destroyed. Imagine, if Mexico, of a sudden decided to ally itself with Russia. Would that make America happy? Would it anger America even more if Mexico decided to base missiles aimed at its soil? The bear (or any animal for that matter) can be cornered only so much before it fights back for its survival. It seems the writer of this blog fail to grasp this idea.
The US lost 50,000 of her best killed in Vietnam
Now they have lost 4000 in Iraq.
All for nothing, except to make coporate America rich.
How many more lives will the US govt sacrifice for the oil companies which has interests in Georgia? Trading US lives for $$$$-that’s American politics….hahaha….except the US people are blind to the tricks of their government and corporate backers!
I don’t disagree with some of the criticism of the American recognition of Kosovo, as it was a short-sighted decision, to say the least, and, of course, there are energy interests at stake in the Caucasus, but do not forget that the United States has an obligation to provide greater assistance to an emerging democracy that committed 2,000 combat soldiers in Iraq. (It is only because of the Russian invasion that those troops are being called home.) Russia has been fermenting unrest throughout the region for years now; this is just a tragic consequence of Western weakness.
Mr. Wong, please do not pretend that you care about "America’s best" who died in Vietnam. Judging by your subsequent comments, I doubt you neither care about the well-being of American soldiers nor wish to acknowledge that, despite its flaws, no other political system better represents all of its citizens — rich, poor, young, and old — than the American model.
Georgia attacked territory inhabited by ossetins. Ossetins don’t want to live in georgian state. They declared it point blankly in the early 1990s. After 1992 conflict Russian troops were located there to keep peace and prevent fighting. It was done by UN decision. Russians kept peace there for 16 years.
Now Georgians supplied and encouraged by US suddenly attacked South Ossetia. Georgians announced that there would be no fire from their side just several hours before attack! and then at night started to shell sleeping Ossetian city on the first day of Olympic games!
They wiped out city almost completely, killed 2000 ossetins (mainly civilians in their houses) and forced 34000 to flee to Russia. Mind that the whole population of South Ossetia is just about 70000.
Who is aggressor?
Come on, Victor: do you really think that Moscow will ever allow Ossetia to be truly independent? And why is Russia then sending troops beyond Ossetia and into the rest of Georgia???
It’s all about empire with the Russians — always has been, always will be….
Funny too how Russia has long had one policy for the people of Dagestan and Chechnya, who never wanted to be under Moscow’s control, but conveniently forgets all about those anti-separatist views when making bold statements about Ossetia and Abkhazia….
Funny too how USA has long had one policy for the people of Kosovo and another one for the people of South Ossetia…
The notion that the USA has been involved in Viet Nam or Iraq to prop up the oil companies shows a very shallow interpretation of US foreign policy. Despite all the comments asserting the validity of this view from Move.On and other fellow travelers, its probably much more accurate to view US intervention for the last century as largely supporting a policy of expanding the Western democratic concept around the world.
Yes, there has often been an economic element, or at least that of protecting American nationals, for instance, Wilson’s sending the punative expedition into Mexico following the killings of US nationals in Mexico and the cross-border raid into US territory. But people who think this was to protect US mining companies haven’t red much of Wilson’s writing. He was planning to bring US style democracy to the Mexicans. A few years later, he argued that the League of Nations would prevent Europe from future devastating wars. While Wilson was wrong – on both counts – I suspect that the idea of spreading democracy has much more to do with G. W. Bush’s decision to invade Iraq than profit margins of oil companies. Read Bush and Wilson carefully – both seem to be guided by the same optimism about Western democratic government, and the belief that if it spreads around the globe, wars will be reduced. Viet Nam seems to be more of the same.
While I think US intervention in Mexico and Viet Nam were both mistakes, and probably un-winnable, the alternatives don’t seem to have been much better. Certainly the romantic notion that the communists were bringing a democratic government coupled to a fairer economic system have been thoroughly debunked by _The Black Book of Communism_. The evidence is there for anyone with ordinary intelligence: communism has not worked, and the efforts to make it work caused greater bloodshed and ecological degradation than the capitalists.
So to the present. A US intervention in Georgia would be very foolish. The people asking why we don’t do anything will likely be the ones demanding a quick US withdrawal once the war expands. The US, by itself, cannot win a conflict with Russia. China is not likely to accept a US intervention nearby, and even though Sino-Russian relations may not be much better than Sino-Soviet relations were in 1990, I doubt that China will acquiesce to a war with Russia. So where are all the rest of the Europeans? Trying to figure out how to do business with Putin’s Russia, just as they did with Saddam Hussein’s Iraq. Trying to balance economic and political realities of maintaining a high standard of living for their citizens against the unpleasant nature of dealing with an unsavory oligarch who controls access to petroleum and needed resources. Much like the USA.
Under Putin, Russia has rapidly returned to the old authoritarian imperial model of governance that worked poorly under the last czar, and better under Lenin and Stalin, but, for all that, is still a repressive government of the many by the few. As Woodrow Wilson discovered, he could not ‘teach the Mexicans to elect good men,’ and we cannot teach anyone else do do it either. If Western democracy is to expand, it will do so because people want it for themselves, and we – the Western democracies – can try to assist. But for a small nation to stand up to one as large as Russia will require a degree of unity which I do not think is possible in the world at the present. Too many peace movements in the countries of Europe and in the USA itself would demand an end to a war for Georgian independence once the bodies started coming home. Until the collective will is there to pay that price, in blood as well as euros and dollars, there is little point in getting involved.
Perhaps this seems craven, much like the arguments in many US cities in the late summer of 1914 that Europe’s insanity was not an American problem, or the notion expressed in many US cities in 1936 – 1939 that European borders were not our problem, or the arguments on college campuses in 1967 – 1968 that the Vietnamese should solve their problems without our interference, or the complaints from much of the US left that the war in Iraq was to make Iraqi oil available to US companies. The will to pay the price simply isn’t there. Heartbreaking as that is for the Georgians, like the Czechs and others, the general will to defend small nations against the aggression of larger neighbors is generally not really supported until the threat is aimed directly at the larger Western democracies, and they perceive that the threat is real. Europe and the US have not yet reached that conclusion about Georgia.
Victor, you will see that I agree that Washington shouldn’t have recognized Kosovo. Allowing most of the Serbian enclaves to join in a union with Belgrade would help that situation. However, I can assure you that the United States does not want to replace Serbia as the master of Kosovo. I don’t think that you can say the same about Russia’s intentions in the Georgian areas.
Russian nationalists’ fascination with Kosovo and Serbia seem to explain a lot. It seems like the pan-Russian and pan-Slavic ideas have not died down.
Russians continue to see Serbs, who recently committed genocide, as brothers. For some reason they compare Kosovo’s situation to the brutal massacre of Georgia created solely by Russia’s imperialism.
Let’s not forget the oil in Georgia must really entice Russia’s interest. Let’s not forget that Russia was amassing soldiers on Georgian border months before these alleged South Ossetian attacks. Let’s not forget the brutal put down of Chechens by the Russians, or the Bulgarians, or the Ukraine, or Afghanistan–Russia’s track record for brutal world destruction is not good– it makes America look like an angel.
The United States is working hard on this issue, but we can’t exactly go in gun-blazing, as that could easily spark global thermonuclear war. That’s exactly the type of cowboy-type thing the Europeans usually accuse us of doing. In my opinion those breakaway provinces are probably lost. If it’s true that most of their citizens want to be part of Russia, then that’s probably for the best. But then the U.S. and the Europeans need to fast-track the rest of Georgia, the Ukraine, and maybe other nations that may be at risk into NATO to draw a line in the sand with Russia.
Will Russia bomb the US or invade or anything? Please.. Someone reply..
The US should go in and drive the Russians out – no if or buts – just do it. We should once again start building up troop masses on the Russian Border.