The Old Fart Beats the Young Guy

August 19th, 2008 By: Michael van der Galien | Tags:

The main story of the Rick Warren forum is not whether or not Senator John McCain was in a cone of silence, even though some media would like to pretend it is. No, it is that the old fart McCain benefited from appearing on stage with his young, charismatic and good looking opponent.

Beforehand many people advises McCain not to do so. Sure, his strength is speaking off the cuff, whereas it is Barack Obama’s major weakness but, conventional wisdom held, McCain’s age would be emphasized if he would stand with Obama on stage. Only Obama, it was believed, could possibly benefit from this (see JFK vs. Nixon, for instance).

But that is not how it went. People certainly saw an age difference between the two, but being younger does not necessarily mean one has more energy. What is more important, McCain was truly able to exploit his strength; he and Obama were virtually equally prepared, but McCain was far more able to put his thoughts into words and to show to voters he had actually thought serious issues through.

Obama not so.

Being young can also be held against you. When you appear truly young you can give people the impression you’re not up to a very serious task and that you don’t know what you need to know. During the Warren forum this is the general impression Obama left; not that of a charismatic young leader, but of someone not ready for the highest office in the U.S.

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  1. Claudia, Assistant Editor
    August 19th, 2008 at 14:40
    Reply | Quote | #1

    This is hardly a good test of Obama and McCain showing up on stage "together". They really appeared one and then the other, so the "image" of a younger vs. an older person cannot be gleaned from this event.
    They were together for all of 30 seconds, and in a forum that heavily favored McCain. People seem to be very eager to forget that this was NOT a neutral setting, it was not the national debates, it was an EVANGELICAL CHRISTIAN forum. Somehow I suspect those insisting it was perfectly balanced would not think the same thing had the event been Obama and McCain in a place talking about urban poverty.

    I agree that McCain did better than Obama, especially because he knew he had the more favored (religious right) positions and because he opted to do a stump speech instead of a conversation. Obama was also unusually off his game, on top of being in a place that policy-wise favored the other guy. But let’s not pretend this is a perfectly neutral event that objectively evaluated the candidates.

  2. Orson Buggeigh
    August 19th, 2008 at 16:21
    Reply | Quote | #2

    Rick Warren isn’t my brand of Protestant, but I would gladly take HIM as a debate moderator over any of the news media personalities.  After watching the Saddleback Church sessions with the candidates, and comparing it to the way the media fail to get candidates to talk about issues of substance, I was pleasantly surprised.  I had not expected any substance from this event.  The fact that both candidates were asked the same questions made it possible for the viewer to compare and reach his won conclusions about which one he thinks will be the better president. 

    I agree, Saddleback isn’t Obama’s congregation for comfort.  But it really isn’t McCain’s either.  I think both men are sincere in their Christian faith, but each subscribes to a very different denomination of it than the other, or Pastor Warren’s.  It was evident that many in the audience are more sympathetic to McCain’s views on the issues than Obama’s, but that does not invalidate the method used.  I suspect that had this event been conducted exactly the same way, but by the National Urban League or the NAACP, Obama would have had the more sympathetic audience. 

    I would say McCain’s suggestion for town hall meetings would be good – especially if the moderators would use the technique used by Warren of asking the same questions to each candidate.  The positives would include the ability to hear both candidates speak to the issue,and see how each reacts to the comments of his rival; the down side is that the candidates might not respond as fully to the questions.  That’s where the skilled moderator comes in – prompting the candidate to give a more complete answer.  Either way, it would be better than the sound bites and constant spin we get from the mainstream media.  A half century ago, candidates had their speeches printed in the newspapers.  If you didn’t get to actually see Dewy or Truman in your town, you could read the full text of the speech, and see for yourself what the candidate’s campaign was all about.  In the haste to sell advertising, perhaps the media has relinquished some of its civic duty,and should resume the practice of printing transcripts of speeches by the candidates.  I don’t expect to see it happen.  Meanwhile, Well done, Pastor Warren.  And well done Senator McCain – it was clearly his night. 

  3. Claudia, Assistant Editor
    August 19th, 2008 at 17:01
    Reply | Quote | #3

    Orson, I don’t mean to criticise Warren. In my opinion, he was the best of the three, and was reasonable and evenhanded. I’m VERY leery of the objectivity of religious figures, so saying that I think he was fair is saying something.

    The subjects however, did favor McCain against Obama. Being that Obama comes down on the other side of the debate in the three sacred cows; abortion, stem cell research (though how you can be against one and for the other boggles my mind) and gay rights (sure he doesn’t support marriage but he does defend GLBT rights in other aspects). McCain had to do very little explaining in that respect, except on the matter of stem cells, a question he did notably worse on.

    Again, Obama could have done much better, even in this forum. He was much less eloquent than he usually is and on top of that he suffered from McCain deciding that nuance was for sissies and that this was just another stump speech. I think Obama knew he wasn’t going to give all the answers the audience wanted to hear and he let that get to him. Still, I think a truly fair forum would be one made up of a MIXED crowd (not Orange County white Christians) and mixed questions with a more neutral host, though taking Pastor Warren as a model for behaviour would be excellent, to be sure.

  4. C Stanley
    August 19th, 2008 at 17:15
    Reply | Quote | #4

    I think Michael’s observation is spot on, and I think it’s actually the reason that Obama’s supporters are so nervously trying to spin this event. The comparison of youth vs. experience with experience coming out on top hasn’t been more obvious since Reagan’s famous quip in the debate with Mondale. This wasn’t as direct, but the subliminal message was still there- that the old guy isn’t going to let his age be a negative factor, quite the contrary in fact.

    As for Warren, the format, etc- if the candidates are going to talk about issues of faith and morality, then this was definitely a good way to do it. One of the most unfortunate things about religion in politics in recent years is that the secular media obsesses on the ‘gotcha’ aspect, which only makes the problem of kneejerk ‘values voters’ worse (they only get to hear these soundbites which tell them which candidate is ‘their guy’.) At least by having a more thoughtful religous leader lead this discussion, you got a better sense of how each candidate really thinks about these things instead of the ‘raise your hand if you don’t believe in evolution’ kind of crap.

    Obama’s job here was to show whether he could bridge the gap with conservative Christians; overall in that sense he didn’t do too badly, but there were a couple of questions where he stumbled pretty badly (the abortion question and the SCOTUS one) so he definitely didn’t close the deal IMO. Add that to the fact that McCain did have the natural advantage of holding positions that were in agreement with most of the audience, and the stylistic differences that related to personality and age, and there’s no doubt it was McCain’s night.

  5. Jonathan Wilson
    August 19th, 2008 at 18:46
    Reply | Quote | #5

    The subjects did not naturally favor McCain, they were simply Political Issues of Today, that only favored McCain BECAUSE he is CORRECT on those issues.

    In other words, Obama’s failure to outperform McCain on "evil", "national security", "taxes", "the rich", "abortion", "gay marriage", "moral failure in life", "gut-wrenching decision and going against one’s own party" — are because… Barack Obama is simply not a good candidate, he is simply the worst Democratic candidate I’ve seen.

    I bet you that Bill Clinton would have been able to answer all these questions with flying colors.

    As far as "stump speeches" Claudia, no one was standing on a stump, and no one was using local references, and this wasn’t a campaign stop.  If you’re referring to his old anecdotes, then you’re right, he did refer to some old anecdotes to connect with the audience, but he did have a ‘conversation’ with Rick Warren, just like Obama, so please don’t try and disrespect McCain by claiming he made stump speeches, because then I’d counter with Barack Obama stuttered constantly like George W. Bush and couldn’t make up his mind most of the time.

  6. Claudia, Assistant Editor
    August 19th, 2008 at 21:32
    Reply | Quote | #6

    It’s certainly your right to believe that Obama is a terrible candidate and McCain a fine one, that the subjects were neutral and McCain didn’t use a stump speech line Jonathan. It’s also my right to utterly disagree on every single one of those points :)

    The line of questioning was, logically enough for the setting, heavy on social issues and the audience was, also logically, socially conservative. You yourself said in another thread that the event favored McCain, more socially conservative than Obama.

    As for McCain being on a stump speech, it was my impression as I watched the thing. Afterwards I read several reviews that, to a greater or lesser degree, said the same thing, that McCain was more about stumping, about talking points, directing himself to the audience rather than Warren himself. If you feel it utterly necessary I can dig and find these references.

    As for respecting McCain, that’s very similar to the McCain campaign strategy of making every SINGLE criticism of the candidate an attack on his character, never forgetting to throw in the shield-against-all (unless you are Kerry) veteran status into the mix. If saying that McCain was using stump speech talking points in that forum is disrespecting him, I’ll tell you what; I won’t do that if you stop questioning Obama’s character, intentions, education and intelligence at every turn. Deal?

  7. Michael Merritt
    August 20th, 2008 at 06:39
    Reply | Quote | #7

    On invigorating the audience, McCain won, hands down.  However, it was my impression this forum was supposed to be about explaining yourself in response to the answers asked.

    McCain did indeed explain himself on the questions, but I agree with Claudia: he treated it as if it was a campaign stop where he was making a speech to excite people.  Obama sounds the same way when he makes one of his speeches.

    Obama did sound sort of boring, sure, but my understanding of this forum is that it wasn’t a thing meant to be an exciting debate like the ones we saw earlier this year.  By definition, it wasn’t even a debate since they were apart.

    Obama can’t seem to get a break from some people.  When he does the "hope" thing, he gets blasted for not specifying what hope is.  When he tries to explain himself, he gets blasted for not being exciting enough.

    This wasn’t a debate like the three we’ll see after the conventions.  For those who want to see Obama acting like McCain did Saturday night, they’ll have plenty of opportunity to see it in the coming months.

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