Early Voting

October 27th, 2008 By: Michael van der Galien | Tags:

Early voting reports are not as bad for John McCain and as good for Barack Obama as many expected. In fact, reports from Ohio are that far fewer Democratic voters have voted at this moment than expected. Obama’s campaign made a big issue out of voting early, but if reports are correct, they may have missed their mark by as much as 80% in Ohio.

Furthermore, reports from California indicate that here too Obama is doing less good than anticipated. According to the reports, McCain and Obama are basically tied in that state at this moment.

Although the above is encouraging for McCain-Palin and American conservatives (and Independents who support the Republican ticket), the picture becomes less hopeful for them – albeit still better than what many expected – once one realizes that Republicans have traditionally voted early in larger numbers than Democrats. In the past, the Republican candidate often had a lead with regards to early voting. A dead heat, therefore, may be better than expected, but certainly not a sign that the polls were completely wrong in so far that most said Obama had a lead.

The only question about the polls was and is how big Obama’s lead is. Some polls have it at more than 10%, others at 5% or so. At this moment, the 5% polls seem to be closer to the mark, if early voting reports are accurate, that is.

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