McCain Can Win Pennsylvania

October 30th, 2008 By: Michael van der Galien | Tags:

Although I have been told by several people that I am “dreaming” when I say that John McCain could very well win Pennsylvania next week, the latest poll backs up my claim: 9% of voters say they are undecided, Obama has a 4% lead.

The NBC/Mason Dixon poll shows that 47% of those asked said they intend to vote for Obama, against 43% who support McCain. It was not too long ago that Obama had a double-digit lead in the state that made Benjamin Franklin great.

To make matters even worse for Obama and his supporters: the margin of error is 4%. This means that the two are statistically tied.

As I see it, Pennsylvania could go to McCain for a couple of reasons:

1. Spread the wealth around

2. He has campaigned in Pennsylvania quite often in recent weeks

3. Congressman Jack Murtha’s ‘western Pennsylvania is racist’ remark, later ‘corrected’ into ‘redneck’ and ‘not ready’ to vote for a black candidate

4. Gut feeling, and I’ve had it for weeks

Will McCain win Pennsylvania? I am not going that far, but I am willing to call it a toss-up. We’ll see whether I am right less than a week from now.

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