MM your popular vote totals 103%. I know there’s some rounding but…
“Whatever the case, it’s not going to be over 300 I think.”
I looked at the map and that would require every R leaner and every toss-up going McCain’s way. That would give 291/247 (pretty close to your guess).

CS
“…I think our darker sides would probably prevail and the GOP would be the sore losers…and the Dems saying that since Bush didn’t govern in a uniting way after his non-popular vote win, then Obama has no obligation to do so either.”
Unfortunately I agree with your assessment here.

I’d like to think, as redfish does, that this reversal of 2000 might precipitate some partisan healing as each side reflects on what it feels like to be on the other side; unfortunately though I think our darker sides would probably prevail and the GOP would be the sore losers complaining of a stolen election (plenty of ammo for that accusation with the ACORN fiasco) and the Dems saying that since Bush didn’t govern in a uniting way after his non-popular vote win, then Obama has no obligation to do so either.

And I definitely agree with MvdG and Interested on Obama’s popular vote percentage- I think it will be 48-49ish on the high end. I think that’s where his vulnerability is in the polls- he rarely goes over 50% and when he has hit it it’s often not sustained. I think particularly in the swing states, where some pollsters are saying that as many as 1 in 7 are still undecided, those people more likely will vote McCain if they do vote at all (their continued indecision likely represents a desire for change but discomfort with Obama himself and/or confusion about whether or not he’s really a centrist/postpartisan) and that means he probably won’t top 50% and he may not take as many of those ‘leaning’ states as some are predicting.

My EV count is kind of arbitrary. I made an educated guess based on thinking it’d end up tightening up, but the actual numbers may not add up correctly.

Whatever the case, it’s not going to be over 300 I think. I’d be surprised if it was. Perhaps if Obama looks to be getting to 270 early on it might be, but I doubt it.

Senate: Dem 57, Rep 41, Other 2

That’s the only one I agree with you on, and think you’re pretty good with House as well.

Popular vote: Obama wlil not make it over 50% I believe. 49.6% perhaps. McCain: 47.5%. Rest other.

Electoral college: Obama 290, McCain rest.

Electoral College: Obama 338 McCain 200
Popular Vote: Obama 52.9 McCain 46.7 Other: 0.4
Senate: Dem 57, Rep 41, Other 2
House: Dem 258 Rep 177