Bashing “Speculators” Threatens Economic Recovery

June 29th, 2009 By: Arvak | Tags:

speculator_cartoonThus far in the still-early months of his term, President Obama has largely stuck with his promise for rhetorical moderation and a change in the often vicious tone that has come to characterize American politics in recent years. In fact, on issues ranging from the continuing war against al-Qaeda to the emerging debate about health care, Obama has often disappointed his far-left flank with his insistence on moderation and search for various forms of compromise, and their disappointment is a good thing for anyone who values real-world policy progress over political vendetta.

But when it comes to demonizing “speculators” for their expectation to actually receive promised returns on investment even during times of general economic downturn, the President has sometimes indulged in recklessly populist rhetoric that is now starting to undermine his actual policies.

Specifically, the President’s plan for purging banks of their so-called “toxic assets” relies on the willingness of investors to buy up assets that have little value now but which might reap gains later, after the housing market recovers, for example. But investors have to have an eye on the fate of financial executives who saw their regular compensation packages buried under a deluge of political torches and pitchforks as well as Chrysler investors who the President demonized as “speculators” for having the temerity to actually insist on the place established for them at the front of the line under regular principles of U.S. bankruptcy law. If they actually do run the risk of buying up toxic assets in the hopes of making money down the road, might those gains be put at risk by government action taken to punish all profit-making as “speculation”? The chance that government double standards might saddle them with the risk of loss and cancel any risk of gain acts as a strong deterrent against participating in the toxic-asset bailout at all.

As a result, toxic assets are remaining on the books, thus keeping a live and armed landmine buried beneath the global financial system in spite of trillions already spent (supposedly) to disarm it.

Extreme rhetoric, it seems, has more consequences than merely wounded egos. It can seriously affect actual policy effectiveness. Some of the more…um, passionate members of the government, media, and blogosphere might consider keeping this in mind as we move forward on major policy debates about not only our still-fragile financial system, but climate change policy and health care policy as well.

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  1. Michael Jones
    June 29th, 2009 at 23:27
    Reply | Quote | #1

    There is greed for material wealth. Then there is greed for power. Sometimes the two go hand in hand. Sometimes they do not. Not as an expert, but as a knave I reached the conclusion that President Obama’s tact with the bondholders of Chrysler was a big mistake for the same reasons you mention: what lesson can be drawn by future investors.

    I find that referring to the bondholders as “speculators” laughable in light of the amount of the nation’s treasure the administration (along with Bush’s, to be fair) have been committed to one of the greatest casino-style banking muck-ups in history.

    Speculation per se is not evil, nor uncommon. We all specualte that our savings, IRA’s, 401k’s, home values, etc., increase in value. In fact, our private investments depend upon financial experts speculating on our behalf. Personally I hate it when oil rises due to investment funds jumping into commodites markets, but then most of theat money represents small investors grouped together in pension funds and other entities.

    Now the idiots who let things get out of hand should be brought to heel. That includes those in the government who betrayed the public trust through incompetence.

    However, President Obama needs to be trimming the rotten branches, not dynamiting the entire tree out of the ground.

  2. Interested
    July 3rd, 2009 at 10:40
    Reply | Quote | #3

    July 2 (Bloomberg) — Employers in the U.S. cut 467,000 jobs in June, the unemployment rate rose and hourly earnings stagnated, offering little evidence the Obama administration’s stimulus package is shoring up the labor market.

    In response – the Great OB waves his hand in true Jedi fashion and says – this is not the data you are looking for…..

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